Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.008431 0.009942 0.011762 0.014152 0.017264 0.021261 0.026927
2025-06-22 0.006182 0.007838 0.010055 0.013349 0.018329 0.025975 0.039540
2025-06-29 0.005206 0.006930 0.009410 0.013445 0.020297 0.032532 0.059367
2025-07-06 0.004652 0.006436 0.009163 0.013951 0.022981 0.041640 0.093129
2025-07-13 0.004333 0.006209 0.009236 0.014954 0.026934 0.055924 0.161960
2025-07-20 0.003996 0.005884 0.009063 0.015441 0.030064 0.071001 0.273231
2025-07-27 0.003662 0.005508 0.008723 0.015494 0.032245 0.085741 0.448147
2025-08-03 0.003393 0.005201 0.008449 0.015602 0.034641 0.104222 0.796107
2025-08-10 0.003101 0.004815 0.007963 0.015122 0.035232 0.116900 1.279660
2025-08-17 0.002809 0.004400 0.007364 0.014251 0.034327 0.122275 1.816044
2025-08-24 0.002573 0.004064 0.006879 0.013559 0.033753 0.129313 2.765030
2025-08-31 0.002462 0.003945 0.006813 0.013876 0.036702 0.162120 8.906006
2025-09-07 0.002295 0.003723 0.006539 0.013698 0.038230 0.193392 46.631175
2025-09-14 0.002097 0.003424 0.006073 0.012931 0.037255 0.205196 289.468007
2025-09-21 0.001988 0.003287 0.005933 0.013023 0.039874 0.261311 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001918 0.003217 0.005932 0.013507 0.044651 0.373088 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001883 0.003212 0.006073 0.014466 0.052769 0.632472 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001819 0.003143 0.006056 0.014931 0.058956 0.995143 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001739 0.003032 0.005923 0.014982 0.062880 1.441166 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001668 0.002935 0.005812 0.015085 0.067454 2.235410 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001578 0.002788 0.005561 0.014627 0.067663 2.807595 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001477 0.002614 0.005224 0.013794 0.064442 2.866332 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001392 0.002468 0.004945 0.013133 0.062253 3.081054 NaN